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A wildfire can build its own thunderstorm

These striking columns, born from intense wildfires, rise so high they create their own weather — and climate scientists are watching closely.

Pyrocumulonimbus rising above a wildfire

Pyrocumulonimbus clouds (pyroCb), or "fire clouds," form above large wildfires. The heat drives hot air, smoke and particles up into the upper troposphere, sometimes the lower stratosphere — above 10 km, where the vapor condenses into a genuine thunderstorm cloud, complete with lightning and winds.

What makes these clouds remarkable

It's not the size of the fire that decides, but the atmosphere. High temperatures, very dry air and strong instability aloft are the determining conditions.

One quiet indicator plays a central role: the vapor pressure deficit (VPD), a measure of how "thirsty" the air is. Its measurable rise is linked to warming.

The phenomenon is becoming more frequent. A worldwide inventory covering 2013 to 2023 shows a marked increase in events, with 2023 setting records.

Open questions

The consensus on the trend is solid. But the exact share of each atmospheric factor remains debated, as does the ability of models to predict when and where a fire will tip into a pyrocumulonimbus. That is precisely the focus of current research: better forecasting to better protect people and firefighters.

Sources

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